risk assessment part 1

Predicted deaths in Georgia from the Wuhan virus range from 1,000 to 27,000.  So far, the data does not support even the low estimate.  For the record, here are selected excerpts from what I've written in the past week to ten days.

March 8, 2020 - So as we test more in the coming months, we'll find more and it'll LOOK LIKE it's spreading, when all that's really happening is we're recognizing it more.

March 8, 2020 -  one more from the same source with real data analyzed by a real human, not some stupid reporter.  (referring to article entitled How Mass Hysteria Is Making Coronavirus Worse Than It Actually Is - Worth)

March 10, 2020 -Finally somebody put together a good bit of writing that encapsulates the facts.  Compare what this article says to what's on the broadcast networks and they start to look like the idiots they are.  This should be mandatory reading:https://www.fisherinvestments.com/en-us/marketminder/coronavirus-seeing-through-the-fog-of-fear

March 13, 2020 - We are taking something that is a problem and turning it into a crisis by being stupidly misled by reporters who don't understand math.  Concern is appropriate.  Panic is not.

March 13, 2020 - The US should copy South Korea's approach.  Instead of draconian stoppage and lockdown that will likely cripple the economy, why not trust people, especially medical professionals, to do their jobs and use common sense?

March 13, 2020 - This episode is going to go down as the worst over reaction and media driven idiocy in recent history.

March 14, 2020 - Much of the closures are probably not legal and the voluntary ones are mostly unnecessary.

March 16, 2020 - (responding to Dr. Oz's predictions) It appears to me he's just pulling numbers out of the air.  And if he believes ANYTHING about the China numbers, he's deluded.  The story says the number of cases "surged" recently.  Of course they're surging, but mainly because we're actually starting to do some testing and finding out it's more wide spread than we ever thought - AND NOBODY NOTICED.

This is still the most over hyped hysteria we'll ever see (until the next one). 

March 16, 2020 - You can't spell pandemic without Dem Panic.  Check out the proposals mentioned in this article for one Illinois city.  I'll quote them here:

The city council proposed to grant extraordinary powers to the mayor, which include:

• Banning the sale of firearms and ammunition;
• Banning the sale of any alcohol;
• Closing of all bars, taverns, liquor stores, etc.;
• Banning the sale or giving away of gasoline or other liquid flammable or combustible products in any container other than a gasoline tank permanently fixed to a motor vehicle;
• Directing the shut-off of power, water, gas, etc.
• Taking possession of private property and obtaining full title to same;
• Prohibiting or restricting entry and exit to and from the city.

How the hell is any of this legal?  Why is it necessary?  It's not, IMO, and they're pushing to see how many sheep we have in the population. 

March 16, 2020 -  his is exactly what I was afraid would happen, using this "crisis" for massive government overreach and control and loss of freedom in the name of public safety...It's almost out of control now...People in office are power hungry control freaks who see this as an opportunity to set some precedents that will become accepted practice in future years.

March 17, 2020 - Social media shaming and gang raping contrary opinions has led to a herd mentality on this event that we will all be shamed by later on.  The truth is that there's no one in charge, and the ones who think they are in control have lost control of events.  I have no idea how it's going to play out now, but I'm hoping for some sort of sheepish return to good sense by May.  I fear it could be longer, though.

March 17, 2020 - Kemp and his team sounded like they're on top of the situation with pragmatic sensible answers. Hopefully we are beginning to pull back on the insane overreaching.